Minority Report

Paintsville, KY — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Johnson County.

Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.

← All cities and the scoreboard

Thursday, November 12

High 55°   Low 44°   Rain 86%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 3°, rain spread 51 points, 4 sources)

Minority report — Thursday, November 12: the National Weather Service stands apart, rain 49% against a group average of 86%.
Thursday, November 12 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service—39°49%
US model (GFS)54°44°86%
European model (ECMWF)54°46°100%
German model (ICON)56°45°100%
Canadian model (GEM)56°47°95%
The average55°44°86%

Friday, November 13

High 47°   Low 37°   Rain 65%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 3°, rain spread 38 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Friday, November 13: the European model (ECMWF) stands apart, rain 90% against a group average of 65%.
Friday, November 13 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service45°32°58%
US model (GFS)47°35°52%
European model (ECMWF)48°38°90%
German model (ICON)46°38°63%
Canadian model (GEM)48°40°63%
The average47°37°65%

Saturday, November 14

High 46°   Low 34°   Rain 13%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 4°, rain spread 18 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Saturday, November 14: the National Weather Service stands apart, rain 2% against a group average of 13%.
Saturday, November 14 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service44°32°2%
US model (GFS)46°33°13%
European model (ECMWF)48°35°15%
German model (ICON)46°35°20%
Canadian model (GEM)45°33°14%
The average46°34°13%

Sunday, November 15

High 49°   Low 35°   Rain 0%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 3°, rain spread 2 points, 5 sources)

Sunday, November 15 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service48°29°0%
US model (GFS)48°40°0%
European model (ECMWF)48°36°2%
German model (ICON)51°37°0%
Canadian model (GEM)48°34°0%
The average49°35°0%

Scoreboard — who has been most right (all recorded cities)

Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.