Minority Report

Palestine, TX — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Anderson County.

Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.

← All cities and the scoreboard

Thursday, November 12

High 77°   Low 51°   Rain 0%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 3°, rain spread 0 points, 4 sources)

Thursday, November 12 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service—47°0%
US model (GFS)77°50°0%
European model (ECMWF)78°54°0%
German model (ICON)75°52°0%
Canadian model (GEM)78°52°0%
The average77°51°0%

Friday, November 13

High 70°   Low 50°   Rain 0%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 6°, rain spread 1 points, 5 sources)

Friday, November 13 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service69°45°1%
US model (GFS)68°52°0%
European model (ECMWF)70°52°0%
German model (ICON)67°49°0%
Canadian model (GEM)73°50°0%
The average70°50°0%

Saturday, November 14

High 64°   Low 46°   Rain 26%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 7°, rain spread 42 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Saturday, November 14: the Canadian model (GEM) stands apart, rain 3% against a group average of 26%.
Saturday, November 14 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service64°46°39%
US model (GFS)65°45°10%
European model (ECMWF)66°48°45%
German model (ICON)59°44°31%
Canadian model (GEM)66°48°3%
The average64°46°26%

Sunday, November 15

High 54°   Low 46°   Rain 82%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 5°, rain spread 28 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Sunday, November 15: the US model (GFS) stands apart, rain 66% against a group average of 82%.
Sunday, November 15 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service55°45°85%
US model (GFS)56°46°66%
European model (ECMWF)55°46°94%
German model (ICON)50°46°84%
Canadian model (GEM)54°46°83%
The average54°46°82%

Scoreboard — who has been most right (all recorded cities)

Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.