Palmer, AK — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Matanuska-Susitna Borough.
Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.
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High 37° Low 28° Rain 22%
They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 4°, rain spread 43 points, 5 sources)
| Source | High | Low | Rain |
|---|---|---|---|
| National Weather Service | 35° | 22° | 10% |
| US model (GFS) | 38° | 32° | 13% |
| European model (ECMWF) | 37° | 27° | 53% |
| German model (ICON) | 39° | 33° | 25% |
| Canadian model (GEM) | 37° | 25° | 10% |
| The average | 37° | 28° | 22% |
High 33° Low 25° Rain 1%
Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 6°, rain spread 7 points, 5 sources)
| Source | High | Low | Rain |
|---|---|---|---|
| National Weather Service | 31° | 18° | 7% |
| US model (GFS) | 32° | 29° | 0% |
| European model (ECMWF) | 33° | 26° | 0% |
| German model (ICON) | 36° | 32° | 0% |
| Canadian model (GEM) | 30° | 21° | 0% |
| The average | 33° | 25° | 1% |
High 30° Low 24° Rain 50%
They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 11°, rain spread 67 points, 5 sources)
| Source | High | Low | Rain |
|---|---|---|---|
| National Weather Service | 31° | 22° | 27% |
| US model (GFS) | 31° | 28° | 69% |
| European model (ECMWF) | 28° | 22° | 78% |
| German model (ICON) | 34° | 30° | 64% |
| Canadian model (GEM) | 24° | 19° | 11% |
| The average | 30° | 24° | 50% |
High 34° Low 26° Rain 54%
They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 15°, rain spread 73 points, 5 sources)
| Source | High | Low | Rain |
|---|---|---|---|
| National Weather Service | 34° | 26° | 27% |
| US model (GFS) | 34° | 28° | 84% |
| European model (ECMWF) | 27° | 24° | 82% |
| German model (ICON) | 42° | 32° | 65% |
| Canadian model (GEM) | 34° | 19° | 11% |
| The average | 34° | 26° | 54% |
Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.