Minority Report

Palmyra, MO — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Marion County.

Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.

← All cities and the scoreboard

Thursday, November 12

High 47°   Low 34°   Rain 3%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 1°, rain spread 14 points, 4 sources)

Minority report — Thursday, November 12: the Canadian model (GEM) stands apart, rain 14% against a group average of 3%.
Thursday, November 12 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service—30°0%
US model (GFS)47°33°0%
European model (ECMWF)47°39°0%
German model (ICON)47°35°0%
Canadian model (GEM)46°33°14%
The average47°34°3%

Friday, November 13

High 43°   Low 28°   Rain 0%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 3°, rain spread 0 points, 5 sources)

Friday, November 13 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service44°25°0%
US model (GFS)42°29°0%
European model (ECMWF)42°34°0%
German model (ICON)44°29°0%
Canadian model (GEM)41°23°0%
The average43°28°0%

Saturday, November 14

High 46°   Low 24°   Rain 0%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 3°, rain spread 0 points, 5 sources)

Saturday, November 14 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service46°27°0%
US model (GFS)47°22°0%
European model (ECMWF)45°29°0%
German model (ICON)48°25°0%
Canadian model (GEM)44°18°0%
The average46°24°0%

Sunday, November 15

High 50°   Low 27°   Rain 0%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 5°, rain spread 0 points, 5 sources)

Sunday, November 15 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service49°29°0%
US model (GFS)52°32°0%
European model (ECMWF)50°31°0%
German model (ICON)53°28°0%
Canadian model (GEM)48°16°0%
The average50°27°0%

Scoreboard — who has been most right (all recorded cities)

Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.