Minority Report

Palo Pinto, TX — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Palo Pinto County.

Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.

← All cities and the scoreboard

Thursday, November 12

High 76°   Low 46°   Rain 0%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 3°, rain spread 0 points, 4 sources)

Thursday, November 12 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service—48°0%
US model (GFS)75°46°0%
European model (ECMWF)78°49°0%
German model (ICON)76°44°0%
Canadian model (GEM)75°45°0%
The average76°46°0%

Friday, November 13

High 67°   Low 47°   Rain 0%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 3°, rain spread 0 points, 5 sources)

Friday, November 13 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service68°46°0%
US model (GFS)68°50°0%
European model (ECMWF)67°49°0%
German model (ICON)65°46°0%
Canadian model (GEM)68°43°0%
The average67°47°0%

Saturday, November 14

High 61°   Low 46°   Rain 77%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 8°, rain spread 50 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Saturday, November 14: the Canadian model (GEM) stands apart, rain 49% against a group average of 77%.
Saturday, November 14 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service62°47°86%
US model (GFS)64°44°59%
European model (ECMWF)61°48°99%
German model (ICON)56°47°93%
Canadian model (GEM)64°45°49%
The average61°46°77%

Sunday, November 15

High 54°   Low 45°   Rain 90%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 8°, rain spread 17 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Sunday, November 15: the European model (ECMWF) stands apart, rain 100% against a group average of 90%.
Sunday, November 15 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service55°44°83%
US model (GFS)55°47°84%
European model (ECMWF)57°47°100%
German model (ICON)49°45°88%
Canadian model (GEM)55°44°95%
The average54°45°90%

Scoreboard — who has been most right (all recorded cities)

Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.