Minority Report

Panama City, FL — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Bay County.

Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.

← All cities and the scoreboard

Thursday, November 12

High 76°   Low 56°   Rain 1%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 6°, rain spread 3 points, 4 sources)

Thursday, November 12 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service—55°0%
US model (GFS)74°56°3%
European model (ECMWF)79°55°0%
German model (ICON)78°56°0%
Canadian model (GEM)73°61°0%
The average76°56°1%

Friday, November 13

High 65°   Low 46°   Rain 0%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 2°, rain spread 0 points, 5 sources)

Friday, November 13 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service65°45°0%
US model (GFS)64°44°0%
European model (ECMWF)66°44°0%
German model (ICON)66°44°0%
Canadian model (GEM)64°51°0%
The average65°46°0%

Saturday, November 14

High 59°   Low 41°   Rain 0%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 2°, rain spread 0 points, 5 sources)

Saturday, November 14 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service59°44°0%
US model (GFS)60°38°0%
European model (ECMWF)58°40°0%
German model (ICON)61°39°0%
Canadian model (GEM)59°44°0%
The average59°41°0%

Sunday, November 15

High 63°   Low 43°   Rain 1%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 4°, rain spread 2 points, 5 sources)

Sunday, November 15 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service62°46°1%
US model (GFS)65°45°0%
European model (ECMWF)62°40°1%
German model (ICON)66°41°2%
Canadian model (GEM)62°42°0%
The average63°43°1%

Scoreboard — who has been most right (all recorded cities)

Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.