Minority Report

Panhandle, TX — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Carson County.

Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.

← All cities and the scoreboard

Thursday, November 12

High 72°   Low 42°   Rain 0%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 1°, rain spread 0 points, 4 sources)

Thursday, November 12 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service—40°0%
US model (GFS)71°41°0%
European model (ECMWF)72°44°0%
German model (ICON)72°42°0%
Canadian model (GEM)72°42°0%
The average72°42°0%

Friday, November 13

High 59°   Low 39°   Rain 1%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 6°, rain spread 5 points, 5 sources)

Friday, November 13 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service58°38°5%
US model (GFS)62°41°0%
European model (ECMWF)58°40°0%
German model (ICON)56°39°0%
Canadian model (GEM)59°36°0%
The average59°39°1%

Saturday, November 14

High 46°   Low 39°   Rain 85%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 8°, rain spread 17 points, 5 sources)

Saturday, November 14 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service48°39°87%
US model (GFS)50°38°84%
European model (ECMWF)44°41°94%
German model (ICON)43°41°83%
Canadian model (GEM)43°36°77%
The average46°39°85%

Sunday, November 15

High 45°   Low 39°   Rain 58%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 7°, rain spread 64 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Sunday, November 15: the National Weather Service stands apart, rain 20% against a group average of 58%.
Sunday, November 15 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service47°35°20%
US model (GFS)50°42°84%
European model (ECMWF)44°40°59%
German model (ICON)43°41°63%
Canadian model (GEM)43°37°62%
The average45°39°58%

Scoreboard — who has been most right (all recorded cities)

Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.