Minority Report

Paola, KS — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Miami County.

Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.

← All cities and the scoreboard

Thursday, November 12

High 52°   Low 32°   Rain 0%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 2°, rain spread 0 points, 4 sources)

Thursday, November 12 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service—28°0%
US model (GFS)52°33°0%
European model (ECMWF)52°36°0%
German model (ICON)51°34°0%
Canadian model (GEM)52°30°0%
The average52°32°0%

Friday, November 13

High 45°   Low 26°   Rain 0%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 6°, rain spread 0 points, 5 sources)

Friday, November 13 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service48°24°0%
US model (GFS)42°24°0%
European model (ECMWF)45°31°0%
German model (ICON)46°29°0%
Canadian model (GEM)46°24°0%
The average45°26°0%

Saturday, November 14

High 48°   Low 25°   Rain 0%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 4°, rain spread 2 points, 5 sources)

Saturday, November 14 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service50°31°2%
US model (GFS)48°21°0%
European model (ECMWF)46°28°0%
German model (ICON)49°26°0%
Canadian model (GEM)49°19°0%
The average48°25°0%

Sunday, November 15

High 53°   Low 31°   Rain 4%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 3°, rain spread 10 points, 5 sources)

Sunday, November 15 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service52°30°3%
US model (GFS)54°34°3%
European model (ECMWF)51°30°0%
German model (ICON)53°32°10%
Canadian model (GEM)53°27°5%
The average53°31°4%

Scoreboard — who has been most right (all recorded cities)

Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.