Minority Report

Papillion, NE — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Sarpy County.

Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.

← All cities and the scoreboard

Thursday, November 12

High 46°   Low 31°   Rain 0%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 0°, rain spread 1 points, 4 sources)

Thursday, November 12 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service—25°1%
US model (GFS)46°31°0%
European model (ECMWF)46°34°0%
German model (ICON)46°32°0%
Canadian model (GEM)46°30°0%
The average46°31°0%

Friday, November 13

High 43°   Low 25°   Rain 0%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 4°, rain spread 0 points, 5 sources)

Friday, November 13 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service44°23°0%
US model (GFS)40°22°0%
European model (ECMWF)43°30°0%
German model (ICON)44°26°0%
Canadian model (GEM)44°23°0%
The average43°25°0%

Saturday, November 14

High 45°   Low 24°   Rain 0%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 2°, rain spread 0 points, 5 sources)

Saturday, November 14 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service46°30°0%
US model (GFS)47°20°0%
European model (ECMWF)44°28°0%
German model (ICON)46°25°0%
Canadian model (GEM)44°18°0%
The average45°24°0%

Sunday, November 15

High 49°   Low 29°   Rain 0%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 5°, rain spread 1 points, 5 sources)

Sunday, November 15 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service47°30°1%
US model (GFS)52°34°1%
European model (ECMWF)48°28°0%
German model (ICON)52°34°0%
Canadian model (GEM)47°17°0%
The average49°29°0%

Scoreboard — who has been most right (all recorded cities)

Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.