Paris, ID — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Bear Lake County.
Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.
← All cities and the scoreboard
High 55° Low 30° Rain 0%
Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 5°, rain spread 0 points, 4 sources)
| Source | High | Low | Rain |
|---|---|---|---|
| National Weather Service | — | 31° | 0% |
| US model (GFS) | 58° | 30° | 0% |
| European model (ECMWF) | 54° | 36° | 0% |
| German model (ICON) | 56° | 27° | 0% |
| Canadian model (GEM) | 53° | 28° | 0% |
| The average | 55° | 30° | 0% |
High 54° Low 32° Rain 46%
They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 6°, rain spread 81 points, 5 sources)
| Source | High | Low | Rain |
|---|---|---|---|
| National Weather Service | 54° | 33° | 89% |
| US model (GFS) | 57° | 36° | 8% |
| European model (ECMWF) | 52° | 36° | 53% |
| German model (ICON) | 54° | 30° | 33% |
| Canadian model (GEM) | 51° | 23° | 48% |
| The average | 54° | 32° | 46% |
High 43° Low 29° Rain 85%
Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 4°, rain spread 19 points, 5 sources)
| Source | High | Low | Rain |
|---|---|---|---|
| National Weather Service | 44° | 25° | 89% |
| US model (GFS) | 42° | 27° | 72% |
| European model (ECMWF) | 42° | 34° | 91% |
| German model (ICON) | 44° | 32° | 86% |
| Canadian model (GEM) | 46° | 27° | 86% |
| The average | 43° | 29° | 85% |
High 45° Low 26° Rain 0%
Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 6°, rain spread 2 points, 5 sources)
| Source | High | Low | Rain |
|---|---|---|---|
| National Weather Service | 46° | 28° | 0% |
| US model (GFS) | 42° | 25° | 0% |
| European model (ECMWF) | 48° | 31° | 2% |
| German model (ICON) | 45° | 25° | 0% |
| Canadian model (GEM) | 44° | 22° | 0% |
| The average | 45° | 26° | 0% |
Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.