Minority Report

Paris, KY — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Bourbon County.

Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.

← All cities and the scoreboard

Thursday, November 12

High 54°   Low 41°   Rain 64%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 2°, rain spread 57 points, 4 sources)

Minority report — Thursday, November 12: the National Weather Service stands apart, rain 34% against a group average of 64%.
Thursday, November 12 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service—38°34%
US model (GFS)53°40°53%
European model (ECMWF)54°43°91%
German model (ICON)55°42°53%
Canadian model (GEM)55°41°90%
The average54°41°64%

Friday, November 13

High 45°   Low 34°   Rain 59%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 3°, rain spread 38 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Friday, November 13: the European model (ECMWF) stands apart, rain 80% against a group average of 59%.
Friday, November 13 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service43°29°44%
US model (GFS)45°32°42%
European model (ECMWF)46°36°80%
German model (ICON)45°36°65%
Canadian model (GEM)44°38°62%
The average45°34°59%

Saturday, November 14

High 46°   Low 30°   Rain 2%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 2°, rain spread 5 points, 5 sources)

Saturday, November 14 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service45°27°2%
US model (GFS)46°31°2%
European model (ECMWF)47°33°0%
German model (ICON)45°32°5%
Canadian model (GEM)45°28°1%
The average46°30°2%

Sunday, November 15

High 48°   Low 32°   Rain 0%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 4°, rain spread 0 points, 5 sources)

Sunday, November 15 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service48°27°0%
US model (GFS)48°37°0%
European model (ECMWF)47°38°0%
German model (ICON)51°35°0%
Canadian model (GEM)47°23°0%
The average48°32°0%

Scoreboard — who has been most right (all recorded cities)

Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.