Minority Report

Paris, ME — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Oxford County.

Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.

← All cities and the scoreboard

Thursday, November 12

High 41°   Low 30°   Rain 19%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 3°, rain spread 26 points, 4 sources)

Minority report — Thursday, November 12: the National Weather Service stands apart, rain 36% against a group average of 19%.
Thursday, November 12 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service—29°36%
US model (GFS)41°33°10%
European model (ECMWF)39°33°10%
German model (ICON)40°28°30%
Canadian model (GEM)43°29°10%
The average41°30°19%

Friday, November 13

High 42°   Low 30°   Rain 8%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 3°, rain spread 23 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Friday, November 13: the National Weather Service stands apart, rain 23% against a group average of 8%.
Friday, November 13 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service42°27°23%
US model (GFS)42°31°5%
European model (ECMWF)45°31°4%
German model (ICON)41°32°10%
Canadian model (GEM)42°29°0%
The average42°30°8%

Saturday, November 14

High 42°   Low 28°   Rain 8%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 2°, rain spread 14 points, 5 sources)

Saturday, November 14 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service43°27°2%
US model (GFS)41°30°8%
European model (ECMWF)42°29°16%
German model (ICON)41°30°3%
Canadian model (GEM)43°24°11%
The average42°28°8%

Sunday, November 15

High 42°   Low 30°   Rain 4%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 3°, rain spread 10 points, 5 sources)

Sunday, November 15 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service43°28°1%
US model (GFS)41°28°1%
European model (ECMWF)42°31°2%
German model (ICON)42°32°3%
Canadian model (GEM)43°31°11%
The average42°30°4%

Scoreboard — who has been most right (all recorded cities)

Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.