Minority Report

Paris, TX — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Lamar County.

Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.

← All cities and the scoreboard

Thursday, November 12

High 73°   Low 48°   Rain 0%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 2°, rain spread 1 points, 4 sources)

Thursday, November 12 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service—44°1%
US model (GFS)74°49°0%
European model (ECMWF)72°50°0%
German model (ICON)72°49°0%
Canadian model (GEM)73°49°0%
The average73°48°0%

Friday, November 13

High 62°   Low 44°   Rain 0%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 3°, rain spread 1 points, 5 sources)

Friday, November 13 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service63°41°1%
US model (GFS)63°46°0%
European model (ECMWF)60°47°0%
German model (ICON)61°43°0%
Canadian model (GEM)64°44°0%
The average62°44°0%

Saturday, November 14

High 58°   Low 41°   Rain 24%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 4°, rain spread 44 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Saturday, November 14: the Canadian model (GEM) stands apart, rain 0% against a group average of 24%.
Saturday, November 14 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service60°42°44%
US model (GFS)59°40°10%
European model (ECMWF)57°42°36%
German model (ICON)56°39°29%
Canadian model (GEM)57°41°0%
The average58°41°24%

Sunday, November 15

High 50°   Low 42°   Rain 88%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 2°, rain spread 21 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Sunday, November 15: the US model (GFS) stands apart, rain 75% against a group average of 88%.
Sunday, November 15 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service51°42°91%
US model (GFS)51°41°75%
European model (ECMWF)49°43°96%
German model (ICON)49°42°88%
Canadian model (GEM)50°40°90%
The average50°42°88%

Scoreboard — who has been most right (all recorded cities)

Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.