Minority Report

Parker, AZ — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of La Paz County.

Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.

← All cities and the scoreboard

Thursday, November 12

High 84°   Low 57°   Rain 1%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 2°, rain spread 3 points, 4 sources)

Thursday, November 12 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service—59°3%
US model (GFS)83°54°1%
European model (ECMWF)83°62°0%
German model (ICON)85°58°0%
Canadian model (GEM)84°50°0%
The average84°57°1%

Friday, November 13

High 77°   Low 59°   Rain 39%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 5°, rain spread 63 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Friday, November 13: the European model (ECMWF) stands apart, rain 87% against a group average of 39%.
Friday, November 13 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service80°55°24%
US model (GFS)75°59°29%
European model (ECMWF)75°62°87%
German model (ICON)77°65°30%
Canadian model (GEM)76°55°24%
The average77°59°39%

Saturday, November 14

High 74°   Low 56°   Rain 2%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 4°, rain spread 5 points, 5 sources)

Saturday, November 14 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service76°52°2%
US model (GFS)72°56°2%
European model (ECMWF)74°57°0%
German model (ICON)75°62°5%
Canadian model (GEM)73°52°0%
The average74°56°2%

Sunday, November 15

High 75°   Low 56°   Rain 0%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 3°, rain spread 1 points, 5 sources)

Sunday, November 15 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service77°54°1%
US model (GFS)74°63°0%
European model (ECMWF)75°55°0%
German model (ICON)77°60°0%
Canadian model (GEM)74°46°0%
The average75°56°0%

Scoreboard — who has been most right (all recorded cities)

Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.