Minority Report

Parowan, UT — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Iron County.

Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.

← All cities and the scoreboard

Thursday, November 12

High 60°   Low 34°   Rain 0%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 2°, rain spread 2 points, 4 sources)

Thursday, November 12 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service—37°2%
US model (GFS)60°38°0%
European model (ECMWF)61°30°0%
German model (ICON)61°34°0%
Canadian model (GEM)59°34°0%
The average60°34°0%

Friday, November 13

High 57°   Low 37°   Rain 59%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 4°, rain spread 68 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Friday, November 13: the National Weather Service stands apart, rain 97% against a group average of 59%.
Friday, November 13 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service55°35°97%
US model (GFS)59°39°51%
European model (ECMWF)55°33°67%
German model (ICON)58°39°53%
Canadian model (GEM)58°39°29%
The average57°37°59%

Saturday, November 14

High 45°   Low 31°   Rain 97%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 2°, rain spread 6 points, 5 sources)

Saturday, November 14 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service44°27°94%
US model (GFS)44°33°94%
European model (ECMWF)45°28°100%
German model (ICON)46°32°100%
Canadian model (GEM)45°33°98%
The average45°31°97%

Sunday, November 15

High 50°   Low 30°   Rain 0%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 2°, rain spread 0 points, 5 sources)

Sunday, November 15 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service50°30°0%
US model (GFS)50°33°0%
European model (ECMWF)51°28°0%
German model (ICON)52°30°0%
Canadian model (GEM)50°30°0%
The average50°30°0%

Scoreboard — who has been most right (all recorded cities)

Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.