Minority Report

Parsons, WV — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Tucker County.

Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.

← All cities and the scoreboard

Thursday, November 12

High 50°   Low 39°   Rain 85%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 3°, rain spread 39 points, 4 sources)

Minority report — Thursday, November 12: the US model (GFS) stands apart, rain 61% against a group average of 85%.
Thursday, November 12 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service—31°66%
US model (GFS)49°41°61%
European model (ECMWF)51°41°100%
German model (ICON)51°41°100%
Canadian model (GEM)50°42°100%
The average50°39°85%

Friday, November 13

High 42°   Low 31°   Rain 67%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 4°, rain spread 79 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Friday, November 13: the US model (GFS) stands apart, rain 18% against a group average of 67%.
Friday, November 13 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service45°26°44%
US model (GFS)41°32°18%
European model (ECMWF)41°31°90%
German model (ICON)41°32°88%
Canadian model (GEM)42°31°97%
The average42°31°67%

Saturday, November 14

High 39°   Low 30°   Rain 46%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 5°, rain spread 36 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Saturday, November 14: the Canadian model (GEM) stands apart, rain 27% against a group average of 46%.
Saturday, November 14 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service42°27°63%
US model (GFS)38°32°40%
European model (ECMWF)41°30°41%
German model (ICON)39°31°58%
Canadian model (GEM)37°29°27%
The average39°30°46%

Sunday, November 15

High 41°   Low 33°   Rain 33%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 5°, rain spread 47 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Sunday, November 15: the German model (ICON) stands apart, rain 57% against a group average of 33%.
Sunday, November 15 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service44°29°37%
US model (GFS)39°33°23%
European model (ECMWF)41°35°39%
German model (ICON)40°35°57%
Canadian model (GEM)39°32°10%
The average41°33°33%

Scoreboard — who has been most right (all recorded cities)

Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.