Minority Report

Patillas Municipio, PR — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Patillas Municipio.

Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.

← All cities and the scoreboard

Thursday, November 12

High 85°   Low 78°   Rain 52%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 1°, rain spread 70 points, 4 sources)

Minority report — Thursday, November 12: the European model (ECMWF) stands apart, rain 100% against a group average of 52%.
Thursday, November 12 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service—78°30%
US model (GFS)85°78°56%
European model (ECMWF)85°78°100%
German model (ICON)86°78°40%
Canadian model (GEM)86°78°33%
The average85°78°52%

Friday, November 13

High 84°   Low 79°   Rain 60%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 4°, rain spread 85 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Friday, November 13: the German model (ICON) stands apart, rain 15% against a group average of 60%.
Friday, November 13 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service84°78°40%
US model (GFS)84°78°52%
European model (ECMWF)84°78°100%
German model (ICON)86°80°15%
Canadian model (GEM)82°78°95%
The average84°79°60%

Saturday, November 14

High 84°   Low 78°   Rain 62%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 1°, rain spread 92 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Saturday, November 14: the German model (ICON) stands apart, rain 8% against a group average of 62%.
Saturday, November 14 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service84°77°50%
US model (GFS)84°78°58%
European model (ECMWF)84°77°100%
German model (ICON)85°81°8%
Canadian model (GEM)84°79°93%
The average84°78°62%

Sunday, November 15

High 85°   Low 77°   Rain 13%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 3°, rain spread 20 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Sunday, November 15: the European model (ECMWF) stands apart, rain 27% against a group average of 13%.
Sunday, November 15 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service86°76°8%
US model (GFS)84°77°7%
European model (ECMWF)84°78°27%
German model (ICON)86°78°10%
Canadian model (GEM)84°75°14%
The average85°77°13%

Scoreboard — who has been most right (all recorded cities)

Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.