Minority Report

Paulding, OH — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Paulding County.

Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.

← All cities and the scoreboard

Thursday, November 12

High 48°   Low 39°   Rain 79%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 4°, rain spread 54 points, 4 sources)

Minority report — Thursday, November 12: the National Weather Service stands apart, rain 46% against a group average of 79%.
Thursday, November 12 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service—34°46%
US model (GFS)48°41°68%
European model (ECMWF)50°41°100%
German model (ICON)49°40°80%
Canadian model (GEM)46°39°100%
The average48°39°79%

Friday, November 13

High 42°   Low 31°   Rain 34%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 3°, rain spread 41 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Friday, November 13: the Canadian model (GEM) stands apart, rain 57% against a group average of 34%.
Friday, November 13 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service43°27°16%
US model (GFS)41°30°16%
European model (ECMWF)42°35°51%
German model (ICON)43°32°28%
Canadian model (GEM)40°31°57%
The average42°31°34%

Saturday, November 14

High 45°   Low 29°   Rain 3%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 3°, rain spread 8 points, 5 sources)

Saturday, November 14 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service45°33°8%
US model (GFS)44°29°2%
European model (ECMWF)45°29°2%
German model (ICON)46°28°3%
Canadian model (GEM)43°26°0%
The average45°29°3%

Sunday, November 15

High 47°   Low 33°   Rain 2%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 4°, rain spread 12 points, 5 sources)

Sunday, November 15 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service48°30°12%
US model (GFS)46°38°0%
European model (ECMWF)46°35°0%
German model (ICON)48°38°0%
Canadian model (GEM)44°22°0%
The average47°33°2%

Scoreboard — who has been most right (all recorded cities)

Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.