Minority Report

Pauls Valley, OK — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Garvin County.

Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.

← All cities and the scoreboard

Thursday, November 12

High 72°   Low 42°   Rain 0%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 2°, rain spread 0 points, 4 sources)

Thursday, November 12 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service—40°0%
US model (GFS)73°43°0%
European model (ECMWF)71°45°0%
German model (ICON)72°41°0%
Canadian model (GEM)72°42°0%
The average72°42°0%

Friday, November 13

High 59°   Low 41°   Rain 0%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 1°, rain spread 0 points, 5 sources)

Friday, November 13 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service59°38°0%
US model (GFS)60°43°0%
European model (ECMWF)58°43°0%
German model (ICON)59°39°0%
Canadian model (GEM)59°42°0%
The average59°41°0%

Saturday, November 14

High 57°   Low 39°   Rain 64%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 2°, rain spread 31 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Saturday, November 14: the Canadian model (GEM) stands apart, rain 45% against a group average of 64%.
Saturday, November 14 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service58°39°73%
US model (GFS)58°37°50%
European model (ECMWF)57°42°76%
German model (ICON)57°35°74%
Canadian model (GEM)57°40°45%
The average57°39°64%

Sunday, November 15

High 46°   Low 41°   Rain 95%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 6°, rain spread 12 points, 5 sources)

Sunday, November 15 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service48°38°91%
US model (GFS)49°42°88%
European model (ECMWF)46°43°100%
German model (ICON)45°42°98%
Canadian model (GEM)43°40°100%
The average46°41°95%

Scoreboard — who has been most right (all recorded cities)

Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.