Paw Paw, MI — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Van Buren County.
Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.
← All cities and the scoreboard
High 47° Low 36° Rain 66%
They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 3°, rain spread 55 points, 4 sources)
| Source | High | Low | Rain |
|---|---|---|---|
| National Weather Service | — | 31° | 40% |
| US model (GFS) | 46° | 38° | 65% |
| European model (ECMWF) | 49° | 37° | 71% |
| German model (ICON) | 46° | 35° | 60% |
| Canadian model (GEM) | 47° | 37° | 95% |
| The average | 47° | 36° | 66% |
High 41° Low 29° Rain 42%
They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 4°, rain spread 46 points, 5 sources)
| Source | High | Low | Rain |
|---|---|---|---|
| National Weather Service | 42° | 26° | 14% |
| US model (GFS) | 39° | 32° | 29% |
| European model (ECMWF) | 43° | 30° | 59% |
| German model (ICON) | 40° | 31° | 60% |
| Canadian model (GEM) | 41° | 27° | 48% |
| The average | 41° | 29° | 42% |
High 46° Low 29° Rain 10%
Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 3°, rain spread 12 points, 5 sources)
| Source | High | Low | Rain |
|---|---|---|---|
| National Weather Service | 46° | 31° | 13% |
| US model (GFS) | 46° | 32° | 9% |
| European model (ECMWF) | 46° | 28° | 2% |
| German model (ICON) | 48° | 32° | 10% |
| Canadian model (GEM) | 44° | 24° | 14% |
| The average | 46° | 29° | 10% |
High 46° Low 34° Rain 8%
Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 5°, rain spread 17 points, 5 sources)
| Source | High | Low | Rain |
|---|---|---|---|
| National Weather Service | 47° | 30° | 5% |
| US model (GFS) | 48° | 37° | 9% |
| European model (ECMWF) | 46° | 38° | 2% |
| German model (ICON) | 47° | 37° | 5% |
| Canadian model (GEM) | 44° | 28° | 19% |
| The average | 46° | 34° | 8% |
Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.