Minority Report

Pawnee, OK — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Pawnee County.

Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.

← All cities and the scoreboard

Thursday, November 12

High 65°   Low 40°   Rain 0%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 2°, rain spread 1 points, 4 sources)

Thursday, November 12 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service—34°1%
US model (GFS)65°42°0%
European model (ECMWF)64°45°0%
German model (ICON)65°40°0%
Canadian model (GEM)67°41°0%
The average65°40°0%

Friday, November 13

High 53°   Low 35°   Rain 0%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 2°, rain spread 0 points, 5 sources)

Friday, November 13 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service55°33°0%
US model (GFS)53°37°0%
European model (ECMWF)52°39°0%
German model (ICON)52°33°0%
Canadian model (GEM)53°34°0%
The average53°35°0%

Saturday, November 14

High 56°   Low 34°   Rain 32%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 2°, rain spread 35 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Saturday, November 14: the US model (GFS) stands apart, rain 13% against a group average of 32%.
Saturday, November 14 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service56°37°48%
US model (GFS)56°32°13%
European model (ECMWF)55°37°26%
German model (ICON)57°32°24%
Canadian model (GEM)56°31°47%
The average56°34°32%

Sunday, November 15

High 46°   Low 40°   Rain 74%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 7°, rain spread 26 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Sunday, November 15: the German model (ICON) stands apart, rain 61% against a group average of 74%.
Sunday, November 15 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service48°35°78%
US model (GFS)49°41°77%
European model (ECMWF)47°42°68%
German model (ICON)46°40°61%
Canadian model (GEM)42°39°87%
The average46°40°74%

Scoreboard — who has been most right (all recorded cities)

Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.