Minority Report

Payette, ID — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Payette County.

Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.

← All cities and the scoreboard

Thursday, November 12

High 60°   Low 34°   Rain 0%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 1°, rain spread 0 points, 4 sources)

Thursday, November 12 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service—33°0%
US model (GFS)59°32°0%
European model (ECMWF)60°40°0%
German model (ICON)60°36°0%
Canadian model (GEM)60°32°0%
The average60°34°0%

Friday, November 13

High 63°   Low 38°   Rain 78%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 5°, rain spread 43 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Friday, November 13: the US model (GFS) stands apart, rain 49% against a group average of 78%.
Friday, November 13 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service65°37°92%
US model (GFS)64°38°49%
European model (ECMWF)62°40°92%
German model (ICON)64°36°88%
Canadian model (GEM)60°38°71%
The average63°38°78%

Saturday, November 14

High 57°   Low 39°   Rain 59%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 3°, rain spread 92 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Saturday, November 14: the National Weather Service stands apart, rain 2% against a group average of 59%.
Saturday, November 14 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service57°32°2%
US model (GFS)56°38°67%
European model (ECMWF)57°44°94%
German model (ICON)56°43°68%
Canadian model (GEM)59°36°66%
The average57°39°59%

Sunday, November 15

High 58°   Low 41°   Rain 52%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 3°, rain spread 46 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Sunday, November 15: the German model (ICON) stands apart, rain 78% against a group average of 52%.
Sunday, November 15 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service56°37°49%
US model (GFS)59°42°32%
European model (ECMWF)59°43°61%
German model (ICON)56°44°78%
Canadian model (GEM)58°37°38%
The average58°41°52%

Scoreboard — who has been most right (all recorded cities)

Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.