Minority Report

Pearisburg, VA — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Giles County.

Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.

← All cities and the scoreboard

Thursday, November 12

High 54°   Low 40°   Rain 61%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 3°, rain spread 81 points, 4 sources)

Minority report — Thursday, November 12: the National Weather Service stands apart, rain 19% against a group average of 61%.
Thursday, November 12 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service—35°19%
US model (GFS)53°39°38%
European model (ECMWF)53°42°82%
German model (ICON)53°42°65%
Canadian model (GEM)56°41°100%
The average54°40°61%

Friday, November 13

High 44°   Low 35°   Rain 15%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 5°, rain spread 28 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Friday, November 13: the Canadian model (GEM) stands apart, rain 33% against a group average of 15%.
Friday, November 13 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service47°30°15%
US model (GFS)42°35°10%
European model (ECMWF)45°37°10%
German model (ICON)43°37°5%
Canadian model (GEM)44°35°33%
The average44°35°15%

Saturday, November 14

High 40°   Low 32°   Rain 9%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 5°, rain spread 24 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Saturday, November 14: the Canadian model (GEM) stands apart, rain 24% against a group average of 9%.
Saturday, November 14 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service43°29°10%
US model (GFS)38°31°5%
European model (ECMWF)41°34°8%
German model (ICON)40°34°0%
Canadian model (GEM)40°34°24%
The average40°32°9%

Sunday, November 15

High 44°   Low 32°   Rain 0%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 5°, rain spread 2 points, 5 sources)

Sunday, November 15 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service47°29°0%
US model (GFS)42°32°0%
European model (ECMWF)44°31°2%
German model (ICON)46°35°0%
Canadian model (GEM)43°35°0%
The average44°32°0%

Scoreboard — who has been most right (all recorded cities)

Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.