Minority Report

Pecos, TX — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Reeves County.

Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.

← All cities and the scoreboard

Thursday, November 12

High 71°   Low 45°   Rain 0%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 2°, rain spread 0 points, 4 sources)

Thursday, November 12 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service—46°0%
US model (GFS)71°45°0%
European model (ECMWF)70°46°0%
German model (ICON)72°48°0%
Canadian model (GEM)72°40°0%
The average71°45°0%

Friday, November 13

High 73°   Low 45°   Rain 68%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 2°, rain spread 52 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Friday, November 13: the Canadian model (GEM) stands apart, rain 95% against a group average of 68%.
Friday, November 13 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service72°52°75%
US model (GFS)72°46°43%
European model (ECMWF)73°46°84%
German model (ICON)72°46°45%
Canadian model (GEM)74°37°95%
The average73°45°68%

Saturday, November 14

High 72°   Low 53°   Rain 64%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 3°, rain spread 96 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Saturday, November 14: the National Weather Service stands apart, rain 4% against a group average of 64%.
Saturday, November 14 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service70°51°4%
US model (GFS)73°56°65%
European model (ECMWF)70°52°100%
German model (ICON)73°54°73%
Canadian model (GEM)72°53°78%
The average72°53°64%

Sunday, November 15

High 68°   Low 51°   Rain 1%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 4°, rain spread 3 points, 5 sources)

Sunday, November 15 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service66°46°0%
US model (GFS)70°57°0%
European model (ECMWF)66°49°2%
German model (ICON)70°53°3%
Canadian model (GEM)67°50°0%
The average68°51°1%

Scoreboard — who has been most right (all recorded cities)

Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.