Minority Report

Pekin, IL — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Tazewell County.

Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.

← All cities and the scoreboard

Thursday, November 12

High 46°   Low 34°   Rain 13%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 3°, rain spread 34 points, 3 sources)

Minority report — Thursday, November 12: the Canadian model (GEM) stands apart, rain 35% against a group average of 13%.
Thursday, November 12 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service—31°5%
US model (GFS)45°33°1%
European model (ECMWF)48°37°12%
Canadian model (GEM)46°34°35%
The average46°34°13%

Friday, November 13

High 43°   Low 30°   Rain 2%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 2°, rain spread 6 points, 4 sources)

Friday, November 13 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service44°26°6%
US model (GFS)42°29°1%
European model (ECMWF)43°32°0%
Canadian model (GEM)44°31°0%
The average43°30°2%

Saturday, November 14

High 46°   Low 27°   Rain 0%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 2°, rain spread 0 points, 4 sources)

Saturday, November 14 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service47°27°0%
US model (GFS)46°27°0%
European model (ECMWF)47°29°0%
Canadian model (GEM)45°23°0%
The average46°27°0%

Sunday, November 15

High 49°   Low 27°   Rain 0%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 2°, rain spread 0 points, 4 sources)

Sunday, November 15 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service49°27°0%
US model (GFS)50°33°0%
European model (ECMWF)49°29°0%
Canadian model (GEM)48°20°0%
The average49°27°0%

Scoreboard — who has been most right (all recorded cities)

Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.