Minority Report

Pendleton, OR — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Umatilla County.

Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.

← All cities and the scoreboard

Thursday, November 12

High 59°   Low 42°   Rain 0%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 13°, rain spread 1 points, 4 sources)

Thursday, November 12 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service—40°1%
US model (GFS)52°43°1%
European model (ECMWF)61°41°0%
German model (ICON)65°44°0%
Canadian model (GEM)58°40°0%
The average59°42°0%

Friday, November 13

High 69°   Low 45°   Rain 46%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 4°, rain spread 66 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Friday, November 13: the National Weather Service stands apart, rain 86% against a group average of 46%.
Friday, November 13 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service69°38°86%
US model (GFS)69°42°36%
European model (ECMWF)69°50°57%
German model (ICON)71°53°20%
Canadian model (GEM)67°41°33%
The average69°45°46%

Saturday, November 14

High 62°   Low 44°   Rain 30%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 5°, rain spread 54 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Saturday, November 14: the National Weather Service stands apart, rain 63% against a group average of 30%.
Saturday, November 14 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service62°39°63%
US model (GFS)60°42°9%
European model (ECMWF)62°46°17%
German model (ICON)62°51°30%
Canadian model (GEM)65°40°29%
The average62°44°30%

Sunday, November 15

High 57°   Low 45°   Rain 82%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 9°, rain spread 42 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Sunday, November 15: the Canadian model (GEM) stands apart, rain 58% against a group average of 82%.
Sunday, November 15 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service58°35°86%
US model (GFS)55°48°80%
European model (ECMWF)53°47°85%
German model (ICON)58°49°100%
Canadian model (GEM)62°44°58%
The average57°45°82%

Scoreboard — who has been most right (all recorded cities)

Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.