Penn Yan, NY — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Yates County.
Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.
← All cities and the scoreboard
High 46° Low 35° Rain 95%
Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 1°, rain spread 16 points, 4 sources)
| Source | High | Low | Rain |
|---|---|---|---|
| National Weather Service | — | 30° | 84% |
| US model (GFS) | 45° | 35° | 93% |
| European model (ECMWF) | 46° | 38° | 100% |
| German model (ICON) | 46° | 38° | 100% |
| Canadian model (GEM) | 46° | 36° | 100% |
| The average | 46° | 35° | 95% |
High 38° Low 33° Rain 74%
They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 4°, rain spread 54 points, 5 sources)
| Source | High | Low | Rain |
|---|---|---|---|
| National Weather Service | 40° | 29° | 46% |
| US model (GFS) | 37° | 33° | 52% |
| European model (ECMWF) | 39° | 35° | 95% |
| German model (ICON) | 38° | 35° | 75% |
| Canadian model (GEM) | 36° | 34° | 100% |
| The average | 38° | 33° | 74% |
High 40° Low 34° Rain 83%
Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 2°, rain spread 22 points, 5 sources)
| Source | High | Low | Rain |
|---|---|---|---|
| National Weather Service | 42° | 32° | 74% |
| US model (GFS) | 40° | 33° | 70% |
| European model (ECMWF) | 40° | 36° | 92% |
| German model (ICON) | 41° | 35° | 90% |
| Canadian model (GEM) | 40° | 34° | 90% |
| The average | 40° | 34° | 83% |
High 41° Low 35° Rain 76%
Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 4°, rain spread 19 points, 5 sources)
| Source | High | Low | Rain |
|---|---|---|---|
| National Weather Service | 43° | 34° | 66% |
| US model (GFS) | 39° | 34° | 70% |
| European model (ECMWF) | 41° | 36° | 85% |
| German model (ICON) | 41° | 37° | 83% |
| Canadian model (GEM) | 39° | 35° | 76% |
| The average | 41° | 35° | 76% |
Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.