Minority Report

Peoria, IL — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Peoria County.

Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.

← All cities and the scoreboard

Thursday, November 12

High 46°   Low 35°   Rain 23%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 2°, rain spread 67 points, 4 sources)

Minority report — Thursday, November 12: the European model (ECMWF) stands apart, rain 69% against a group average of 23%.
Thursday, November 12 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service—32°5%
US model (GFS)45°34°2%
European model (ECMWF)47°38°69%
German model (ICON)45°35°5%
Canadian model (GEM)46°36°35%
The average46°35°23%

Friday, November 13

High 43°   Low 31°   Rain 2%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 2°, rain spread 6 points, 5 sources)

Friday, November 13 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service43°27°6%
US model (GFS)42°31°1%
European model (ECMWF)42°33°0%
German model (ICON)44°32°3%
Canadian model (GEM)44°33°0%
The average43°31°2%

Saturday, November 14

High 46°   Low 28°   Rain 0%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 2°, rain spread 0 points, 5 sources)

Saturday, November 14 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service46°28°0%
US model (GFS)46°29°0%
European model (ECMWF)46°30°0%
German model (ICON)46°30°0%
Canadian model (GEM)44°24°0%
The average46°28°0%

Sunday, November 15

High 49°   Low 30°   Rain 0%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 3°, rain spread 0 points, 5 sources)

Sunday, November 15 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service49°29°0%
US model (GFS)50°33°0%
European model (ECMWF)48°32°0%
German model (ICON)49°33°0%
Canadian model (GEM)47°20°0%
The average49°30°0%

Scoreboard — who has been most right (all recorded cities)

Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.