Minority Report

Perryton, TX — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Ochiltree County.

Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.

← All cities and the scoreboard

Thursday, November 12

High 72°   Low 40°   Rain 0%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 3°, rain spread 0 points, 4 sources)

Thursday, November 12 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service—37°0%
US model (GFS)72°40°0%
European model (ECMWF)70°42°0%
German model (ICON)73°41°0%
Canadian model (GEM)72°41°0%
The average72°40°0%

Friday, November 13

High 58°   Low 38°   Rain 0%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 3°, rain spread 1 points, 5 sources)

Friday, November 13 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service57°36°1%
US model (GFS)60°39°0%
European model (ECMWF)58°39°0%
German model (ICON)58°39°0%
Canadian model (GEM)59°35°0%
The average58°38°0%

Saturday, November 14

High 48°   Low 38°   Rain 93%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 6°, rain spread 13 points, 5 sources)

Saturday, November 14 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service49°37°92%
US model (GFS)50°35°93%
European model (ECMWF)46°40°100%
German model (ICON)49°38°93%
Canadian model (GEM)44°38°87%
The average48°38°93%

Sunday, November 15

High 44°   Low 38°   Rain 79%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 4°, rain spread 60 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Sunday, November 15: the National Weather Service stands apart, rain 33% against a group average of 79%.
Sunday, November 15 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service46°34°33%
US model (GFS)46°40°93%
European model (ECMWF)43°40°92%
German model (ICON)42°40°90%
Canadian model (GEM)42°37°86%
The average44°38°79%

Scoreboard — who has been most right (all recorded cities)

Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.