Minority Report

Perryville, AR — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Perry County.

Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.

← All cities and the scoreboard

Thursday, November 12

High 68°   Low 44°   Rain 0%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 2°, rain spread 0 points, 4 sources)

Thursday, November 12 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service—34°0%
US model (GFS)69°46°0%
European model (ECMWF)67°46°0%
German model (ICON)67°45°0%
Canadian model (GEM)68°49°0%
The average68°44°0%

Friday, November 13

High 55°   Low 36°   Rain 0%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 4°, rain spread 0 points, 5 sources)

Friday, November 13 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service56°30°0%
US model (GFS)54°36°0%
European model (ECMWF)53°39°0%
German model (ICON)54°36°0%
Canadian model (GEM)57°37°0%
The average55°36°0%

Saturday, November 14

High 53°   Low 32°   Rain 0%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 4°, rain spread 1 points, 5 sources)

Saturday, November 14 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service54°35°1%
US model (GFS)55°28°0%
European model (ECMWF)51°35°0%
German model (ICON)54°32°0%
Canadian model (GEM)52°30°0%
The average53°32°0%

Sunday, November 15

High 55°   Low 37°   Rain 29%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 6°, rain spread 19 points, 5 sources)

Sunday, November 15 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service52°37°20%
US model (GFS)58°38°19%
European model (ECMWF)54°39°29%
German model (ICON)57°35°38%
Canadian model (GEM)53°37°38%
The average55°37°29%

Scoreboard — who has been most right (all recorded cities)

Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.