Minority Report

Peru, IN — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Miami County.

Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.

← All cities and the scoreboard

Thursday, November 12

High 48°   Low 39°   Rain 68%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 2°, rain spread 48 points, 3 sources)

Minority report — Thursday, November 12: the European model (ECMWF) stands apart, rain 95% against a group average of 68%.
Thursday, November 12 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service—34°47%
US model (GFS)48°42°58%
European model (ECMWF)49°41°95%
Canadian model (GEM)47°40°71%
The average48°39°68%

Friday, November 13

High 44°   Low 31°   Rain 30%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 3°, rain spread 45 points, 4 sources)

Minority report — Friday, November 13: the European model (ECMWF) stands apart, rain 57% against a group average of 30%.
Friday, November 13 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service45°28°12%
US model (GFS)42°31°20%
European model (ECMWF)45°34°57%
Canadian model (GEM)42°33°33%
The average44°31°30%

Saturday, November 14

High 45°   Low 30°   Rain 12%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 5°, rain spread 11 points, 4 sources)

Saturday, November 14 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service46°33°13%
US model (GFS)42°31°8%
European model (ECMWF)45°30°10%
Canadian model (GEM)47°27°19%
The average45°30°12%

Sunday, November 15

High 47°   Low 33°   Rain 7%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 4°, rain spread 12 points, 4 sources)

Sunday, November 15 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service49°30°13%
US model (GFS)46°36°1%
European model (ECMWF)47°38°2%
Canadian model (GEM)45°27°11%
The average47°33°7%

Scoreboard — who has been most right (all recorded cities)

Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.