Minority Report

Petersburg Borough, AK — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Petersburg Borough.

Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.

← All cities and the scoreboard

Thursday, November 12

High 33°   Low 27°   Rain 85%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 7°, rain spread 77 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Thursday, November 12: the National Weather Service stands apart, rain 23% against a group average of 85%.
Thursday, November 12 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service34°30°23%
US model (GFS)32°27°100%
European model (ECMWF)31°22°100%
German model (ICON)37°29°100%
Canadian model (GEM)30°26°100%
The average33°27°85%

Friday, November 13

High 36°   Low 30°   Rain 74%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 7°, rain spread 35 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Friday, November 13: the National Weather Service stands apart, rain 53% against a group average of 74%.
Friday, November 13 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service36°34°53%
US model (GFS)34°28°69%
European model (ECMWF)34°22°88%
German model (ICON)40°37°83%
Canadian model (GEM)34°29°79%
The average36°30°74%

Saturday, November 14

High 39°   Low 32°   Rain 79%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 5°, rain spread 35 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Saturday, November 14: the National Weather Service stands apart, rain 56% against a group average of 79%.
Saturday, November 14 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service38°32°56%
US model (GFS)38°31°74%
European model (ECMWF)38°30°91%
German model (ICON)43°35°88%
Canadian model (GEM)39°33°87%
The average39°32°79%

Sunday, November 15

High 39°   Low 31°   Rain 85%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 6°, rain spread 22 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Sunday, November 15: the European model (ECMWF) stands apart, rain 97% against a group average of 85%.
Sunday, November 15 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service38°33°83%
US model (GFS)37°28°75%
European model (ECMWF)37°29°97%
German model (ICON)44°32°90%
Canadian model (GEM)38°34°79%
The average39°31°85%

Scoreboard — who has been most right (all recorded cities)

Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.