Minority Report

Petersburg, IN — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Pike County.

Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.

← All cities and the scoreboard

Thursday, November 12

High 53°   Low 37°   Rain 32%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 1°, rain spread 81 points, 3 sources)

Minority report — Thursday, November 12: the European model (ECMWF) stands apart, rain 87% against a group average of 32%.
Thursday, November 12 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service—35°6%
US model (GFS)53°37°21%
European model (ECMWF)54°41°87%
Canadian model (GEM)53°36°15%
The average53°37°32%

Friday, November 13

High 44°   Low 33°   Rain 7%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 4°, rain spread 16 points, 4 sources)

Minority report — Friday, November 13: the National Weather Service stands apart, rain 17% against a group average of 7%.
Friday, November 13 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service46°28°17%
US model (GFS)42°32°2%
European model (ECMWF)46°38°8%
Canadian model (GEM)42°34°1%
The average44°33°7%

Saturday, November 14

High 49°   Low 29°   Rain 0%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 2°, rain spread 1 points, 4 sources)

Saturday, November 14 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service49°27°0%
US model (GFS)49°32°1%
European model (ECMWF)50°31°0%
Canadian model (GEM)48°25°0%
The average49°29°0%

Sunday, November 15

High 51°   Low 28°   Rain 0%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 3°, rain spread 0 points, 4 sources)

Sunday, November 15 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service52°29°0%
US model (GFS)52°34°0%
European model (ECMWF)51°30°0%
Canadian model (GEM)49°20°0%
The average51°28°0%

Scoreboard — who has been most right (all recorded cities)

Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.