Minority Report

Petersburg, WV — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Grant County.

Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.

← All cities and the scoreboard

Thursday, November 12

High 60°   Low 42°   Rain 58%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 4°, rain spread 80 points, 4 sources)

Minority report — Thursday, November 12: the German model (ICON) stands apart, rain 98% against a group average of 58%.
Thursday, November 12 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service—37°18%
US model (GFS)60°42°49%
European model (ECMWF)60°44°90%
German model (ICON)58°45°98%
Canadian model (GEM)61°41°33%
The average60°42°58%

Friday, November 13

High 47°   Low 33°   Rain 10%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 4°, rain spread 14 points, 5 sources)

Friday, November 13 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service45°29°18%
US model (GFS)47°33°4%
European model (ECMWF)48°38°7%
German model (ICON)46°36°13%
Canadian model (GEM)49°31°6%
The average47°33°10%

Saturday, November 14

High 45°   Low 31°   Rain 5%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 1°, rain spread 18 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Saturday, November 14: the National Weather Service stands apart, rain 18% against a group average of 5%.
Saturday, November 14 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service46°27°18%
US model (GFS)45°28°3%
European model (ECMWF)45°35°0%
German model (ICON)45°36°3%
Canadian model (GEM)46°30°0%
The average45°31°5%

Sunday, November 15

High 48°   Low 34°   Rain 3%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 2°, rain spread 11 points, 5 sources)

Sunday, November 15 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service50°28°11%
US model (GFS)48°32°2%
European model (ECMWF)48°40°2%
German model (ICON)48°40°0%
Canadian model (GEM)48°30°0%
The average48°34°3%

Scoreboard — who has been most right (all recorded cities)

Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.