Petoskey, MI — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Emmet County.
Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.
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High 44° Low 34° Rain 73%
They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 2°, rain spread 77 points, 4 sources)
| Source | High | Low | Rain |
|---|---|---|---|
| National Weather Service | — | 32° | 23% |
| US model (GFS) | 43° | 34° | 55% |
| European model (ECMWF) | 43° | 36° | 100% |
| German model (ICON) | 45° | 35° | 88% |
| Canadian model (GEM) | 44° | 34° | 98% |
| The average | 44° | 34° | 73% |
High 40° Low 33° Rain 28%
They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 2°, rain spread 49 points, 5 sources)
| Source | High | Low | Rain |
|---|---|---|---|
| National Weather Service | 39° | 31° | 59% |
| US model (GFS) | 39° | 33° | 26% |
| European model (ECMWF) | 40° | 34° | 10% |
| German model (ICON) | 40° | 34° | 18% |
| Canadian model (GEM) | 41° | 34° | 29% |
| The average | 40° | 33° | 28% |
High 41° Low 36° Rain 11%
Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 4°, rain spread 14 points, 5 sources)
| Source | High | Low | Rain |
|---|---|---|---|
| National Weather Service | 41° | 32° | 11% |
| US model (GFS) | 42° | 36° | 9% |
| European model (ECMWF) | 40° | 37° | 9% |
| German model (ICON) | 44° | 38° | 5% |
| Canadian model (GEM) | 40° | 35° | 19% |
| The average | 41° | 36° | 11% |
High 43° Low 35° Rain 6%
They agree — trust it (highs spread 3°, rain spread 14 points, 5 sources)
| Source | High | Low | Rain |
|---|---|---|---|
| National Weather Service | 42° | 32° | 7% |
| US model (GFS) | 44° | 36° | 1% |
| European model (ECMWF) | 43° | 34° | 6% |
| German model (ICON) | 44° | 40° | 0% |
| Canadian model (GEM) | 41° | 30° | 14% |
| The average | 43° | 35° | 6% |
Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.