Minority Report

Philadelphia, MS — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Neshoba County.

Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.

← All cities and the scoreboard

Thursday, November 12

High 70°   Low 48°   Rain 2%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 2°, rain spread 4 points, 4 sources)

Thursday, November 12 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service—34°0%
US model (GFS)71°51°4%
European model (ECMWF)70°52°4%
German model (ICON)69°48°0%
Canadian model (GEM)70°54°0%
The average70°48°2%

Friday, November 13

High 56°   Low 35°   Rain 0%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 3°, rain spread 0 points, 5 sources)

Friday, November 13 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service58°31°0%
US model (GFS)55°37°0%
European model (ECMWF)55°39°0%
German model (ICON)56°30°0%
Canadian model (GEM)57°37°0%
The average56°35°0%

Saturday, November 14

High 56°   Low 31°   Rain 0%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 3°, rain spread 0 points, 5 sources)

Saturday, November 14 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service57°29°0%
US model (GFS)57°32°0%
European model (ECMWF)54°35°0%
German model (ICON)56°28°0%
Canadian model (GEM)54°32°0%
The average56°31°0%

Sunday, November 15

High 59°   Low 34°   Rain 10%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 5°, rain spread 20 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Sunday, November 15: the German model (ICON) stands apart, rain 20% against a group average of 10%.
Sunday, November 15 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service59°34°15%
US model (GFS)62°36°6%
European model (ECMWF)57°37°8%
German model (ICON)61°28°20%
Canadian model (GEM)57°33°0%
The average59°34°10%

Scoreboard — who has been most right (all recorded cities)

Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.