Minority Report

Philip, SD — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Haakon County.

Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.

← All cities and the scoreboard

Thursday, November 12

High 44°   Low 30°   Rain 0%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 7°, rain spread 1 points, 4 sources)

Thursday, November 12 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service—25°1%
US model (GFS)41°31°1%
European model (ECMWF)46°33°0%
German model (ICON)42°32°0%
Canadian model (GEM)48°29°0%
The average44°30°0%

Friday, November 13

High 50°   Low 32°   Rain 0%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 12°, rain spread 0 points, 5 sources)

Friday, November 13 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service53°31°0%
US model (GFS)43°35°0%
European model (ECMWF)51°34°0%
German model (ICON)51°32°0%
Canadian model (GEM)54°26°0%
The average50°32°0%

Saturday, November 14

High 52°   Low 35°   Rain 0%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 5°, rain spread 1 points, 5 sources)

Saturday, November 14 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service52°34°1%
US model (GFS)52°30°0%
European model (ECMWF)51°38°0%
German model (ICON)49°37°0%
Canadian model (GEM)54°33°0%
The average52°35°0%

Sunday, November 15

High 61°   Low 40°   Rain 0%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 4°, rain spread 1 points, 5 sources)

Sunday, November 15 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service61°36°1%
US model (GFS)62°43°0%
European model (ECMWF)59°43°0%
German model (ICON)63°40°0%
Canadian model (GEM)59°40°0%
The average61°40°0%

Scoreboard — who has been most right (all recorded cities)

Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.