Minority Report

Philippi, WV — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Barbour County.

Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.

← All cities and the scoreboard

Thursday, November 12

High 51°   Low 40°   Rain 83%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 4°, rain spread 42 points, 4 sources)

Minority report — Thursday, November 12: the US model (GFS) stands apart, rain 58% against a group average of 83%.
Thursday, November 12 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service—32°59%
US model (GFS)50°42°58%
European model (ECMWF)54°43°100%
German model (ICON)50°40°100%
Canadian model (GEM)51°43°100%
The average51°40°83%

Friday, November 13

High 43°   Low 32°   Rain 61%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 1°, rain spread 72 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Friday, November 13: the Canadian model (GEM) stands apart, rain 100% against a group average of 61%.
Friday, November 13 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service43°29°28%
US model (GFS)42°32°29%
European model (ECMWF)44°33°61%
German model (ICON)43°34°88%
Canadian model (GEM)43°32°100%
The average43°32°61%

Saturday, November 14

High 42°   Low 31°   Rain 41%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 5°, rain spread 68 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Saturday, November 14: the Canadian model (GEM) stands apart, rain 90% against a group average of 41%.
Saturday, November 14 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service42°30°34%
US model (GFS)41°32°23%
European model (ECMWF)44°30°22%
German model (ICON)43°32°38%
Canadian model (GEM)39°31°90%
The average42°31°41%

Sunday, November 15

High 43°   Low 34°   Rain 33%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 4°, rain spread 86 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Sunday, November 15: the Canadian model (GEM) stands apart, rain 97% against a group average of 33%.
Sunday, November 15 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service44°30°24%
US model (GFS)42°36°11%
European model (ECMWF)44°37°16%
German model (ICON)44°36°19%
Canadian model (GEM)40°34°97%
The average43°34°33%

Scoreboard — who has been most right (all recorded cities)

Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.