Minority Report

Philipsburg, MT — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Granite County.

Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.

← All cities and the scoreboard

Thursday, November 12

High 61°   Low 39°   Rain 0%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 9°, rain spread 0 points, 4 sources)

Thursday, November 12 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service—33°0%
US model (GFS)55°45°0%
European model (ECMWF)62°40°0%
German model (ICON)65°38°0%
Canadian model (GEM)62°38°0%
The average61°39°0%

Friday, November 13

High 57°   Low 36°   Rain 2%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 6°, rain spread 12 points, 5 sources)

Friday, November 13 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service58°32°12%
US model (GFS)54°41°0%
European model (ECMWF)55°38°0%
German model (ICON)58°36°0%
Canadian model (GEM)60°33°0%
The average57°36°2%

Saturday, November 14

High 47°   Low 29°   Rain 29%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 3°, rain spread 17 points, 5 sources)

Saturday, November 14 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service48°25°31%
US model (GFS)45°30°21%
European model (ECMWF)47°34°25%
German model (ICON)46°31°38%
Canadian model (GEM)48°26°30%
The average47°29°29%

Sunday, November 15

High 50°   Low 28°   Rain 2%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 3°, rain spread 12 points, 5 sources)

Sunday, November 15 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service51°28°12%
US model (GFS)50°29°0%
European model (ECMWF)50°34°0%
German model (ICON)51°30°0%
Canadian model (GEM)48°21°0%
The average50°28°2%

Scoreboard — who has been most right (all recorded cities)

Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.