Minority Report

Phillips, WI — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Price County.

Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.

← All cities and the scoreboard

Thursday, November 12

High 35°   Low 29°   Rain 30%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 1°, rain spread 48 points, 4 sources)

Minority report — Thursday, November 12: the German model (ICON) stands apart, rain 58% against a group average of 30%.
Thursday, November 12 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service—22°19%
US model (GFS)34°30°10%
European model (ECMWF)35°30°49%
German model (ICON)34°29°58%
Canadian model (GEM)35°31°14%
The average35°29°30%

Friday, November 13

High 34°   Low 27°   Rain 11%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 3°, rain spread 8 points, 5 sources)

Friday, November 13 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service36°21°12%
US model (GFS)34°30°11%
European model (ECMWF)34°28°12%
German model (ICON)33°29°13%
Canadian model (GEM)34°25°5%
The average34°27°11%

Saturday, November 14

High 40°   Low 25°   Rain 0%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 2°, rain spread 1 points, 5 sources)

Saturday, November 14 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service39°20°0%
US model (GFS)41°29°1%
European model (ECMWF)40°28°0%
German model (ICON)40°28°0%
Canadian model (GEM)40°21°0%
The average40°25°0%

Sunday, November 15

High 43°   Low 23°   Rain 0%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 3°, rain spread 0 points, 5 sources)

Sunday, November 15 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service42°22°0%
US model (GFS)44°28°0%
European model (ECMWF)43°26°0%
German model (ICON)45°25°0%
Canadian model (GEM)43°15°0%
The average43°23°0%

Scoreboard — who has been most right (all recorded cities)

Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.