Phoenix, AZ — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Maricopa County.
Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.
← All cities and the scoreboard
High 84° Low 56° Rain 1%
They agree — trust it (highs spread 3°, rain spread 6 points, 4 sources)
| Source | High | Low | Rain |
|---|---|---|---|
| National Weather Service | — | 62° | 6% |
| US model (GFS) | 85° | 59° | 1% |
| European model (ECMWF) | 82° | 58° | 0% |
| German model (ICON) | 83° | 60° | 0% |
| Canadian model (GEM) | 85° | 44° | 0% |
| The average | 84° | 56° | 1% |
High 77° Low 57° Rain 50%
They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 7°, rain spread 41 points, 5 sources)
| Source | High | Low | Rain |
|---|---|---|---|
| National Weather Service | 78° | 58° | 40% |
| US model (GFS) | 80° | 58° | 38% |
| European model (ECMWF) | 73° | 58° | 69% |
| German model (ICON) | 77° | 62° | 30% |
| Canadian model (GEM) | 77° | 47° | 71% |
| The average | 77° | 57° | 50% |
High 70° Low 55° Rain 32%
They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 8°, rain spread 56 points, 5 sources)
| Source | High | Low | Rain |
|---|---|---|---|
| National Weather Service | 74° | 55° | 15% |
| US model (GFS) | 69° | 56° | 14% |
| European model (ECMWF) | 66° | 55° | 70% |
| German model (ICON) | 70° | 60° | 38% |
| Canadian model (GEM) | 71° | 48° | 21% |
| The average | 70° | 55° | 32% |
High 73° Low 55° Rain 0%
Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 5°, rain spread 0 points, 5 sources)
| Source | High | Low | Rain |
|---|---|---|---|
| National Weather Service | 76° | 56° | 0% |
| US model (GFS) | 72° | 64° | 0% |
| European model (ECMWF) | 71° | 52° | 0% |
| German model (ICON) | 74° | 59° | 0% |
| Canadian model (GEM) | 73° | 42° | 0% |
| The average | 73° | 55° | 0% |
Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.