Minority Report

Pierce, NE — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Pierce County.

Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.

← All cities and the scoreboard

Thursday, November 12

High 43°   Low 28°   Rain 0%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 1°, rain spread 0 points, 4 sources)

Thursday, November 12 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service—22°0%
US model (GFS)43°31°0%
European model (ECMWF)43°30°0%
German model (ICON)42°29°0%
Canadian model (GEM)43°25°0%
The average43°28°0%

Friday, November 13

High 42°   Low 24°   Rain 0%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 5°, rain spread 0 points, 5 sources)

Friday, November 13 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service42°22°0%
US model (GFS)38°30°0%
European model (ECMWF)43°27°0%
German model (ICON)42°24°0%
Canadian model (GEM)43°19°0%
The average42°24°0%

Saturday, November 14

High 44°   Low 27°   Rain 0%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 2°, rain spread 0 points, 5 sources)

Saturday, November 14 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service43°29°0%
US model (GFS)44°30°0%
European model (ECMWF)44°28°0%
German model (ICON)45°28°0%
Canadian model (GEM)42°20°0%
The average44°27°0%

Sunday, November 15

High 49°   Low 31°   Rain 1%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 7°, rain spread 5 points, 5 sources)

Sunday, November 15 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service46°30°0%
US model (GFS)52°37°1%
European model (ECMWF)50°31°0%
German model (ICON)53°34°0%
Canadian model (GEM)47°24°5%
The average49°31°1%

Scoreboard — who has been most right (all recorded cities)

Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.