Minority Report

Pierre, SD — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Hughes County.

Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.

← All cities and the scoreboard

Thursday, November 12

High 42°   Low 30°   Rain 0%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 2°, rain spread 0 points, 4 sources)

Thursday, November 12 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service—25°0%
US model (GFS)40°31°0%
European model (ECMWF)42°32°0%
German model (ICON)41°30°0%
Canadian model (GEM)43°31°0%
The average42°30°0%

Friday, November 13

High 45°   Low 29°   Rain 0%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 9°, rain spread 0 points, 5 sources)

Friday, November 13 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service44°29°0%
US model (GFS)40°29°0%
European model (ECMWF)48°30°0%
German model (ICON)47°29°0%
Canadian model (GEM)49°29°0%
The average45°29°0%

Saturday, November 14

High 51°   Low 34°   Rain 0%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 6°, rain spread 0 points, 5 sources)

Saturday, November 14 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service48°34°0%
US model (GFS)54°35°0%
European model (ECMWF)50°35°0%
German model (ICON)51°34°0%
Canadian model (GEM)51°34°0%
The average51°34°0%

Sunday, November 15

High 60°   Low 40°   Rain 0%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 6°, rain spread 0 points, 5 sources)

Sunday, November 15 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service58°38°0%
US model (GFS)59°40°0%
European model (ECMWF)60°40°0%
German model (ICON)64°40°0%
Canadian model (GEM)59°39°0%
The average60°40°0%

Scoreboard — who has been most right (all recorded cities)

Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.