Minority Report

Pikeville, KY — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Pike County.

Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.

← All cities and the scoreboard

Thursday, November 12

High 56°   Low 44°   Rain 84%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 1°, rain spread 62 points, 4 sources)

Minority report — Thursday, November 12: the National Weather Service stands apart, rain 38% against a group average of 84%.
Thursday, November 12 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service—39°38%
US model (GFS)56°45°80%
European model (ECMWF)56°45°100%
German model (ICON)56°46°100%
Canadian model (GEM)55°45°100%
The average56°44°84%

Friday, November 13

High 46°   Low 37°   Rain 77%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 4°, rain spread 41 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Friday, November 13: the European model (ECMWF) stands apart, rain 100% against a group average of 77%.
Friday, November 13 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service44°32°59%
US model (GFS)47°38°63%
European model (ECMWF)48°38°100%
German model (ICON)46°40°73%
Canadian model (GEM)46°40°90%
The average46°37°77%

Saturday, November 14

High 44°   Low 34°   Rain 30%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 4°, rain spread 41 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Saturday, November 14: the European model (ECMWF) stands apart, rain 51% against a group average of 30%.
Saturday, November 14 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service44°32°15%
US model (GFS)45°35°10%
European model (ECMWF)46°34°51%
German model (ICON)45°37°43%
Canadian model (GEM)42°34°33%
The average44°34°30%

Sunday, November 15

High 49°   Low 35°   Rain 0%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 4°, rain spread 2 points, 5 sources)

Sunday, November 15 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service49°31°0%
US model (GFS)47°36°0%
European model (ECMWF)48°33°2%
German model (ICON)52°39°0%
Canadian model (GEM)48°34°0%
The average49°35°0%

Scoreboard — who has been most right (all recorded cities)

Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.