Minority Report

Pine Bluff, AR — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Jefferson County.

Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.

← All cities and the scoreboard

Thursday, November 12

High 70°   Low 46°   Rain 0%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 2°, rain spread 0 points, 4 sources)

Thursday, November 12 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service—35°0%
US model (GFS)71°49°0%
European model (ECMWF)69°50°0%
German model (ICON)69°49°0%
Canadian model (GEM)69°50°0%
The average70°46°0%

Friday, November 13

High 55°   Low 36°   Rain 0%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 4°, rain spread 0 points, 5 sources)

Friday, November 13 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service55°31°0%
US model (GFS)55°37°0%
European model (ECMWF)53°41°0%
German model (ICON)54°37°0%
Canadian model (GEM)57°33°0%
The average55°36°0%

Saturday, November 14

High 54°   Low 32°   Rain 0%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 4°, rain spread 1 points, 5 sources)

Saturday, November 14 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service53°34°1%
US model (GFS)56°30°0%
European model (ECMWF)52°36°0%
German model (ICON)54°32°0%
Canadian model (GEM)53°27°0%
The average54°32°0%

Sunday, November 15

High 56°   Low 38°   Rain 26%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 6°, rain spread 25 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Sunday, November 15: the German model (ICON) stands apart, rain 44% against a group average of 26%.
Sunday, November 15 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service53°36°21%
US model (GFS)59°42°19%
European model (ECMWF)55°39°25%
German model (ICON)58°39°44%
Canadian model (GEM)57°34°19%
The average56°38°26%

Scoreboard — who has been most right (all recorded cities)

Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.