Minority Report

Pinedale, WY — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Sublette County.

Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.

← All cities and the scoreboard

Thursday, November 12

High 54°   Low 27°   Rain 0%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 5°, rain spread 0 points, 4 sources)

Thursday, November 12 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service—30°0%
US model (GFS)56°22°0%
European model (ECMWF)51°28°0%
German model (ICON)54°22°0%
Canadian model (GEM)56°32°0%
The average54°27°0%

Friday, November 13

High 50°   Low 28°   Rain 10%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 3°, rain spread 37 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Friday, November 13: the National Weather Service stands apart, rain 37% against a group average of 10%.
Friday, November 13 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service50°31°37%
US model (GFS)51°27°2%
European model (ECMWF)48°31°0%
German model (ICON)50°28°0%
Canadian model (GEM)51°20°10%
The average50°28°10%

Saturday, November 14

High 46°   Low 27°   Rain 30%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 4°, rain spread 33 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Saturday, November 14: the US model (GFS) stands apart, rain 47% against a group average of 30%.
Saturday, November 14 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service45°25°37%
US model (GFS)46°30°47%
European model (ECMWF)45°29°14%
German model (ICON)45°30°18%
Canadian model (GEM)49°22°34%
The average46°27°30%

Sunday, November 15

High 43°   Low 25°   Rain 0%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 3°, rain spread 2 points, 5 sources)

Sunday, November 15 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service43°26°0%
US model (GFS)42°27°0%
European model (ECMWF)41°27°0%
German model (ICON)43°22°2%
Canadian model (GEM)44°25°0%
The average43°25°0%

Scoreboard — who has been most right (all recorded cities)

Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.