Minority Report

Pineville, KY — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Bell County.

Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.

← All cities and the scoreboard

Thursday, November 12

High 56°   Low 42°   Rain 82%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 3°, rain spread 52 points, 4 sources)

Minority report — Thursday, November 12: the National Weather Service stands apart, rain 48% against a group average of 82%.
Thursday, November 12 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service—37°48%
US model (GFS)55°44°65%
European model (ECMWF)58°43°100%
German model (ICON)56°44°98%
Canadian model (GEM)55°43°100%
The average56°42°82%

Friday, November 13

High 44°   Low 36°   Rain 76%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 2°, rain spread 41 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Friday, November 13: the European model (ECMWF) stands apart, rain 99% against a group average of 76%.
Friday, November 13 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service43°29°66%
US model (GFS)44°35°66%
European model (ECMWF)43°38°99%
German model (ICON)44°39°58%
Canadian model (GEM)43°38°90%
The average44°36°76%

Saturday, November 14

High 43°   Low 31°   Rain 39%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 4°, rain spread 55 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Saturday, November 14: the European model (ECMWF) stands apart, rain 70% against a group average of 39%.
Saturday, November 14 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service44°27°15%
US model (GFS)44°32°28%
European model (ECMWF)44°31°70%
German model (ICON)44°36°33%
Canadian model (GEM)41°30°48%
The average43°31°39%

Sunday, November 15

High 49°   Low 31°   Rain 0%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 4°, rain spread 0 points, 5 sources)

Sunday, November 15 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service51°26°0%
US model (GFS)48°32°0%
European model (ECMWF)49°32°0%
German model (ICON)51°36°0%
Canadian model (GEM)48°27°0%
The average49°31°0%

Scoreboard — who has been most right (all recorded cities)

Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.