Minority Report

Pineville, MO — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of McDonald County.

Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.

← All cities and the scoreboard

Thursday, November 12

High 61°   Low 36°   Rain 0%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 1°, rain spread 0 points, 4 sources)

Thursday, November 12 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service—29°0%
US model (GFS)62°38°0%
European model (ECMWF)60°38°0%
German model (ICON)60°35°0%
Canadian model (GEM)60°40°0%
The average61°36°0%

Friday, November 13

High 50°   Low 30°   Rain 0%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 3°, rain spread 0 points, 5 sources)

Friday, November 13 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service52°27°0%
US model (GFS)49°30°0%
European model (ECMWF)49°33°0%
German model (ICON)50°27°0%
Canadian model (GEM)50°31°0%
The average50°30°0%

Saturday, November 14

High 54°   Low 29°   Rain 1%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 4°, rain spread 5 points, 5 sources)

Saturday, November 14 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service54°33°5%
US model (GFS)55°25°0%
European model (ECMWF)52°32°2%
German model (ICON)56°25°0%
Canadian model (GEM)52°30°0%
The average54°29°1%

Sunday, November 15

High 54°   Low 37°   Rain 27%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 10°, rain spread 33 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Sunday, November 15: the Canadian model (GEM) stands apart, rain 52% against a group average of 27%.
Sunday, November 15 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service53°33°19%
US model (GFS)59°39°22%
European model (ECMWF)52°37°21%
German model (ICON)55°35°20%
Canadian model (GEM)49°40°52%
The average54°37°27%

Scoreboard — who has been most right (all recorded cities)

Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.