Minority Report

Pineville, WV — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Wyoming County.

Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.

← All cities and the scoreboard

Thursday, November 12

High 52°   Low 39°   Rain 88%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 3°, rain spread 48 points, 4 sources)

Minority report — Thursday, November 12: the National Weather Service stands apart, rain 52% against a group average of 88%.
Thursday, November 12 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service—32°52%
US model (GFS)50°41°86%
European model (ECMWF)53°42°100%
German model (ICON)52°43°100%
Canadian model (GEM)50°36°100%
The average52°39°88%

Friday, November 13

High 45°   Low 35°   Rain 72%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 4°, rain spread 70 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Friday, November 13: the US model (GFS) stands apart, rain 29% against a group average of 72%.
Friday, November 13 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service47°27°67%
US model (GFS)44°37°29%
European model (ECMWF)47°37°99%
German model (ICON)43°37°70%
Canadian model (GEM)45°36°96%
The average45°35°72%

Saturday, November 14

High 41°   Low 30°   Rain 51%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 5°, rain spread 63 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Saturday, November 14: the Canadian model (GEM) stands apart, rain 86% against a group average of 51%.
Saturday, November 14 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service44°26°23%
US model (GFS)41°32°39%
European model (ECMWF)42°31°81%
German model (ICON)41°35°28%
Canadian model (GEM)39°28°86%
The average41°30°51%

Sunday, November 15

High 45°   Low 32°   Rain 4%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 4°, rain spread 10 points, 5 sources)

Sunday, November 15 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service47°26°3%
US model (GFS)43°35°0%
European model (ECMWF)45°30°10%
German model (ICON)47°36°3%
Canadian model (GEM)43°34°5%
The average45°32°4%

Scoreboard — who has been most right (all recorded cities)

Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.