Minority Report

Pittsburgh, PA — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Allegheny County.

Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.

← All cities and the scoreboard

Thursday, November 12

High 50°   Low 41°   Rain 83%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 2°, rain spread 53 points, 4 sources)

Minority report — Thursday, November 12: the National Weather Service stands apart, rain 47% against a group average of 83%.
Thursday, November 12 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service—37°47%
US model (GFS)50°40°83%
European model (ECMWF)50°41°100%
German model (ICON)51°41°100%
Canadian model (GEM)49°43°86%
The average50°41°83%

Friday, November 13

High 43°   Low 34°   Rain 19%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 7°, rain spread 35 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Friday, November 13: the German model (ICON) stands apart, rain 43% against a group average of 19%.
Friday, November 13 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service47°32°16%
US model (GFS)40°32°13%
European model (ECMWF)42°35°8%
German model (ICON)43°36°43%
Canadian model (GEM)44°37°14%
The average43°34°19%

Saturday, November 14

High 44°   Low 34°   Rain 48%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 4°, rain spread 26 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Saturday, November 14: the German model (ICON) stands apart, rain 30% against a group average of 48%.
Saturday, November 14 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service46°34°56%
US model (GFS)42°32°52%
European model (ECMWF)43°34°48%
German model (ICON)43°35°30%
Canadian model (GEM)45°35°52%
The average44°34°48%

Sunday, November 15

High 46°   Low 37°   Rain 30%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 5°, rain spread 30 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Sunday, November 15: the Canadian model (GEM) stands apart, rain 48% against a group average of 30%.
Sunday, November 15 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service49°35°23%
US model (GFS)44°38°25%
European model (ECMWF)44°40°38%
German model (ICON)47°39°18%
Canadian model (GEM)45°33°48%
The average46°37°30%

Scoreboard — who has been most right (all recorded cities)

Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.